With new entries of Kamal Hassan and Rajnikant, the battle seems to be an interesting one.
- The other area of strength for AIADMK was women where it lead DMK by a wide margin of 11%.
However, if one were to project on the basis of seats gained, DMK+ will end up with 150+ seats. (PTI Photo).
If one were to project on the basis of a small swing of even 2%, DMK+ will end up with 130+ seats. You can purchase a prediction by buying units of that prediction sold in our market. The upcoming assembly election will be one of the most crucial one for both AIADMK and DMK.
This will be a key battle ground in 2021. The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) launched a fresh attack on the AIADMK, accusing the EPS-led state government of fearing the Centre, as MK Stalin kicked-off the poll campaign for the 2021 State Assembly elections. As the incumbent chief minister, and after the ouster of general secretary V K Sasikala, EPS has wielded the maximum power in the party and government. If they've come up with the mechanism (steering committee) to make it acceptable to the those MLAs on the margins. His father had the stature to survive a 'son rise'. To win a first past the post race, the simple strategy is: either win the opponent's voters over or make those voters vote for someone else. After poor performance in two districts, AIADMK seems to have improved its performance. While dynasty may not be new to the DMK, Stalin is not a Karunanidhi who came from the grassroots to emerge a Dravidian general. Reliable reports suggest DMK's newly hired strategists have even shared with MK Stalin directly that it’s best to postpone the son's entry into politics at this stage, but it’s not easy to keep a politically ambitious son from the fray. It is not a real thing in Tamil Nadu,” said Nilakantan RS.Another matter of concern is if Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazhagam (AMMK), led by TTV Dhinakaran could poach some of the votes, enabling DMK’s victory.Analysts rubbished this saying factions who have a strong ideological stance, will be able to stand tall amid the clutter, else will just fizzle out.“Factions can exist many reasons. Facebook.
It is a clear mandate that DMK is projected to win the 2021 elections. Another key announcement made was the formation of an 11-member steering committee that will establish some kind of ‘collective leadership.’ Sources said EPS was not in favour of this committee, but had to comply because this was part of the truce when the OPS and EPS factions had merged. Edappadi Palaniswami belongs to the Gounder community and Pannerselvam is a Thevar. However, the result of the Civic election gave a hope of revival of AIADMK in state. As usual, we used what is called the wisdom of the crowd method (small samples). Twitter. Corona crisis has hurt TN pulling back the AIADMK quite a bit. Allowing Udhayanidhi to contest the 2021 elections would be a clear assertion of the future of the party. While many ministers say ‘their daddy is in Delhi’, experts believe Modi will not be an influential factor. In the end, status quo is what's in the self interest of most MLAs,” said Nilakantan RS.
Or it could be because of power and personal ambition like how MGR walked out to form the DMK. “The BJP is what happens in news channels and social media. It is possible that as number of COVID cases reduces and TN returns to normal, the anti-incumbency is falling. The constituencies -- Chennai North, Chennai Central, Ramanathapuram, Thoothukkudi and Kanniyakumari -- have a significant number of minorities who form the vote bank. DMK knows that the Lok Sabha Election 2019 victory does not guarantee the victory for Assembly election. You have insufficient coins to play the quiz. It is believed that MK Stalin would use issues such as under-reporting of COVID-19 deaths in the state, lack of availability of adequate hospital beds and equipment during the pandemic, not able to successfully abolish the medical entrance exam NEET which has led to several suicides, the water crisis, the Cauvery issue and the centre's allegedly pro-corporate agrarian legislations as talking points to garner support from the people. Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2021: District Level Analysis, Crowdwisdom360 completed Tamil Nadu Opinion poll 2021 in Thoothukkudi district yesterday. It must noted that DMK too is facing the internal fights.
For philosophical reasons, like how BR Ambedkar stood up in the Congress. Lok Sabha 2019 election was one of the biggest electoral shock for already divided AIADMK. In South TN which is not AIADMK's strong region, the party is givinga. CM E Palaniswamy rated just 48 in July 2020. Chief Minister K Palaniswami has been trying to position himself as the son of the soil. Murari believes DMK definitely has greater leverage than the AIADMK. Neither Jayalalithaa nor MGR hailed from the politically influential OBC communities. Early this month, AIADMK was in pits during the Lok Sabha election in 2019 and had managed a recovery during the one year after that. PIL Against Population Explosion In the month of May 2018, Ashwin Kumar Upadhyay moved a PIL in Delhi High Court to direct the Centre to implement population control measures on the ground that population explosion was the root cause behind rise in crimes, pollution and dearth of resources and jobs in the country.
Copyright © 2020 CrowdWisdom All Rights Reserved. It was the only party in Parliament to oppose GST, remember? One unit is like one share. Roping in Prashant Kishore even after thundering victory in Lok Sabha election was clear indication of nervousness in the DMK camp. Aananth Daksnamurthy 3 December, 2019 4:52 pm IST. Equal Access, Fear: What’s Behind TN’s Student Suicides Over NEET? However the growing numbers in the state has led to a decrease in his popularity of Chief Minister K. Palaniswami. However, this time the story is completely different. AIADMK is losing many seats won in the assembly election in 2016 (4 out of 7).
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